New Report: Climate change models are not correct | Beaufort County Now | Yet Leftists are spending trillions of dollars to fight a non-existent problem they cannot change no matter what they do.

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As we have said many times before, the climate models are wrong.  Now, a new report is verifying what we have said all along.  John Ransom, writing at Headline USA reports:

Despite years of warning that their models were flawed, scientists are panicked in advance of a new report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that will ultimately show their models are still wrong.

“Many of the world’s leading models are now projecting warming rates that most scientists, including the modelmakers themselves, believe are implausibly fast,” says Science magazine.

So far actual temperatures have risen 0.3°C in eight years compared to predictions that  are often ten times that amount.

 

Part of the problem, say experts, is that the models do a bad job of actually measuring real temperatures.

“Climate models that substantially underestimate the natural cold upwelling have a propensity to create El Nino-like conditions, which may explain their tendency to predict too much global warming,” says Cato Institute’s Patrick J. Michaels.

The models have also done a poor job recreating temperatures from the past, making the Ice Age nearly twice as cool as the models now say.

“That is clearly outside the range of what the geological data indicate,” says Jessica Tierney, a paleoclimatologist at the University of Arizona. “It’s totally out there.”

Weather is notoriously sensitive to initial conditions, meaning that small differences in starting values can produce vastly different outcomes over time.

And climatologists, having no previous data-driven science to rely on, make up the rules as they go along.

Thus far temperatures during the entire Industrial Age have only warmed only 1.2°C, which is at the lower end of the models.

“For now, policymakers and other researchers need to avoid putting too much stock in the unconstrained extreme warming the latest models predict, says Claudia Tebaldi, a climate scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and one of the leaders of CMIP’s climate projections. Getting that message out will be a challenge,” according to Science Magazine.

Otherwise, “You end up with numbers for even the near-term that are insanely scary—and wrong,” concluded Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, and longtime alarmist in the government science cabal.


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Comment

( August 2nd, 2021 @ 9:21 am )
 
These climate alarmist models also ignore the settled science that there are long term alternating heating and cooling cycles in Earth's climate history. A particular cold one, called the "Little Ice Age" ended in the 1800s, and the planet entered a natural warming cycle. Each cycle typically lasts several hundred years. The previous natural warming cycle was known as the Medieval Warm Period, when it was warmer than today, and none of the disasters predicted by the climate alarmists happened. The longest warm cycle was the Holocene Maximum that lasted for three thousand years and was much warmer than today. It partly corresponded in human history with the Bronze Age and the golden age of the Greek city states. Greek writings reveal no disaster such as sea level rise, associated with that warming. A great film debunking the theory of manmade global warming is the British TV documentary "The Great Global Warming Swindle" broadcast nationally on the UK's Channel 4, and which can be viewed in its entirety online: www.youtube.com



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