Party support fluid for upcoming German parliamentary election | Beaufort County Now | While Merkel's CDU stumbles, other parties of the right gaining

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Election polls for the German parliamentary election later this month have been all over the landscape, and as the polling blackout period is arriving, there will be even more mystery until the votes are counted.  The Davos globalists are doing their darnedest to try to impose a coalition of the left - the Social Democrats, the Greens, and the Left Party (new name of the old East German Communist Party), but the main issues of concern to voters should push them to the right.

On the right side of the spectrum, Merkel's CDU is bleeding votes as her handpicked successor has proven to be a tone deaf dud on the campaign trail.  CDU candidates for the Bundestag have been begging national CDU headquarters not to send any materials with his name or face to their districts.  Meanwhile, the two parties to the CDU's right, the anti-tax and pro free market Free Democrats and the populist / nationalist anti-immigration Alternativ fur Deutschland (AfD) have been gaining votes.  The CDU's Bavarian sister party, the CSU, which has always been to the right of the CDU seems to be holding its own.

On the left, the Greens initially saw a big surge early in the campaign until voters started looking at what they really stood for and then abandoned them.  So far the Social Democrats look to gain seats.

Two big issues that bode well for the parties of the right are inflation and illegal immigration.  The Free Democrats are the party best positioned to tackle inflation which had rocketed to the top of the issues of concern to German voters.  The Afghanistan debacle has also reignited major concerns over illegal immigration, which bodes well for the two parties taking the strongest stands to stop it, mostly the AfD, but also the Free Democrats.  Meanwhile, both of the currently governing parties, the "grand coalition" of the CDU and Social Democrats have been evasive on both issues, and the Greens and Left Party take positions contrary to the majority positions of German voters.

The last election saw a significant swing to the right between the final polls and election day, and the latest polls have shown an increase in the undecided vote, as well as the rise of the Free Democrats and AfD.

The parties of the right are close to a position that would preclude a purely leftwing coalition taking power, but things are still fluid.  The numbers do not look possible for another CDU / SPD grand coalition getting a majority.  Numbers are in striking distance for a coalition of the right of the Free Democrats, AfD, CSU, and CDU. With Merkel gone and the CDU's numbers down, they may not have the power to keep the AfD out of government that they did after the last election.  The Free Democrats may well be in the catbirds seat calling the shots if the parties of the right achieve a majority. Counting the CDU and CSU as separate parties, the Free Democrats look to emerge from the election as the largest party on the right.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/will-germany-finally-start-eu-breakup

This German election may also be a watershed for stopping the drift toward a European super-state and perhaps lead to a breakup of the Euro currency.


Go Back




Comment

( September 11th, 2021 @ 3:16 am )
 
Looking at the polls and the dynamics of the German election, it appears that the CDU will end up the kingmaker, as to whether a rightward coalition is formed or one to the left, even with a reduced delegation in the Bundestag. As it did after the last election, their Bavarian sister party, the CSU, which is considerably more conservative is likely to operate on its own in coalition making and will side the the parties of the right. A FDP, AfD, CSU combination is likely to fall short of a majority, but the CDU would put them over the line. Similarly a SDP, Green, Left coalition would be short of a majority but the CDU would put them over the line. Being the odd sister in a SDP led coalition that includes the ex-communists is not likely to appeal to the CDU rank and file and could destroy the party. Merkel's strong opposition to working with the populist / nationalist anti-immigration AfD may well not be a factor with Merkel out of leadership. Her dogmatism on that issue made it impossible to form coalitions of the right while she was chancellor. After the election in one east German state, the local CDU joined a coalition with the FDP and AfD that was led by the FDP, but that coaltion lasted only a few days as Merkel put heavy pressure on the local party to withdraw its support. Merkel had no problem working with the Greens, who are farther to the left than the AfD is to the right. The departure of Merkel will be a breath of fresh air for German politics.



"Harmful language" warning on the site that hosts the Constitution, Declaration, and other Rant & Rave, Editorials, Beaufort Observer, Op-Ed & Politics What have we learned since 9-11-01?


HbAD0

Latest Op-Ed & Politics

Following the failed vote on pro-abortion legislation proposed by Democrats, Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio Cortez has issued a statement that democracy has failed and that our nation may never recover.
Several employees who worked at the Mayfield, Kentucky, candle factor that was destroyed by Friday night’s tornadoes said they were told they would be fired if they left their shifts early.
Super-model Gisele Bündchen, wife of NFL legend Tom Brady, revealed how she was traumatized at the age of 18 when she was made to wear a breast-baring outfit at a fashion show.
The Monkeypox pandemic has finally breached the shores of the United States, with the CDC confirming a staggering 1 infections so far.
The Department of Justice (DOJ) Office of the Inspector General (OIG) said in a report on Tuesday that numerous FBI officials had sex with prostitutes while overseas and that most of them lied to investigators when confronted about the allegations.
62% say they would take up arms to fight while 12% said they would not
fewer deaths per 100,000 than most of Europe
The North Carolina General Assembly convened the 2022 short session Wednesday, May 18 after the longest long session in state history concluded in March.

HbAD1

A small clique is trying to control the local GOP and circumvent the duly elected Executive Committee
Fox News host Tucker Carlson fired back at Democratic Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), calling him a “coward” after Schumer refused to appear on Carlson’s show to discuss Schumer linking Carlson to the Buffalo massacre in which 10 people were killed.
Sporting a purple pin-striped suit and top hat while twirling a cane whimsically, President Biden announced today that he has hidden five golden crack pipes among the millions of taxpayer-funded safe smoking kits.
Billionaire Elon Musk unloaded on Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) in a series of tweets on Tuesday after Warren suggested without evidence that Musk does not pay taxes because of a “rigged tax code.”
Democrat President Joe Biden was mocked over the weekend for bragging about flying 70,000 pounds of baby formula from Europe to the U.S. as his administration has faced criticism for the shortage of baby formula across the country.
The US dollar is losing value as a result of burgeoning Biden-flation. Before we all end up homeless, let's take some time to reflect on some things that are more valuable than the money in your bank account. Maybe you can barter for some of these killer items before it's too late!

HbAD2

San Francisco Democrat Mayor London Breed appears to have reversed course on her support for defunding the police, a far-left movement that is well outside the mainstream, and is now calling those same progressive policies “the bulls*** that has destroyed our city.”
On Tuesday night, Val Applewhite won the Democrat primary for North Carolina’s 19th state Senate District with 56.3% of the vote. Incumbent state Sen. Kirk deViere came in second with 36.8% of the vote.
Now that the body of a man shot in the head has been discovered in the receding waters of drought-ravaged Lake Mead in Nevada, two Mafia experts speculate he could be one of three men connected to the Mafia who mysteriously disappeared.
At a donor event this week, President Biden tried his hand at focus group-tested insults, calling Trump the "Great MAGA King" to mixed reviews.
White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki faced intense questions on Tuesday over a variety of issues facing the administration as it battles low approval ratings from the American public.
Now that President Biden has attempted to palliate the American public during the gas price crisis by raiding the critical Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), it has reached the lowest level in 35 years.
Authorities discovered an incapacitated father Thursday night while following up on reports of a possible domestic disturbance.
On Tuesday, President Joe Biden downplayed concerns that many Americans have about his vaccine mandates going too far and encroaching on their individual freedoms.

HbAD3

 
Back to Top