Broadsword calling Danny Boy: Fresno State -3 as Barton wins again! | Eastern North Carolina Now

Fighting soldiers from the sky
Fearless men who jump and die
Men who mean just what they say
The brave men of the Green Beret

Silver wings upon their chest
These are men, America's best
One hundred men will test today
But only three win the Green Beret

Trained to live off nature's land
Trained in combat, hand-to-hand
Men who fight by night and day
Courage take from the Green Berets

Back at home, a young wife waits
Her Green Beret has met his fate
He has died for those oppressed
Leaving her his last request

Put silver wings on my son's chest
Make him one of America's best
He'll be a man they'll test one day
Have him win the Green Beret
- Robin Moore, Jr


The Bishop holds court as ECU delivers the mail. Carter-Finley Stadium -- nineteen-eighty something: Above.     Click image to enlarge.


    College football has always been a game of change and this season new clock rules are showing significant impact in terms of crushing The Man for God, country and Third Platoon. History is replete with minor rule changes generating significant impact on how the game transpires.

    Happily, these rule changes not impacting things here as the Cal Bears covered the number despite missing three field goals, having a made 51 yard attempt called back for holding, and a defensive TD wiped out by an early whistle. We move to 3-0 in this space and plus four units for the campaign.

    (In a rescheduled Friday night tilt, Barton stunned heavily favoured Davidson 33-31 on the road as the Bulldogs continue their remarkable national title run.)

    This week brings another wonderful September card full of non-conference match ups where The Man's numbers are most vulnerable. We look to crash his end zone with power once again this week. However to successfully move forward, we must often first look back...

    When an undefeated Auburn eleven met Georgia, at Columbus in the 1916 November mud, it was not uncommon to see a player on the field without a helmet, much as until 1974 you would sometimes still see an NHL goalie without a mask. With the game nil-all late in the fourth quarter, even the most stoic observer thought he had seen it all.

    However, when the Auburn captain placed his leather helmet on the ground and used it as a tee for Moon Ducote to drill the 45 yard game winner, even the most hardened fans were stunned. The low line-drive barely cleared the crossbar for an epic 3-0 victory they are still talking about today.

    The rules committee declared this illegal in 1917. Kicking tees would not return to the college game until 1948. They were removed again in 1989.

    College football is always evolving and now one of the most sacred aspects of the game is being removed to satisfy the whims of television -- which increasingly is the tail that wags the dog. That aspect is stopping the clock after a first down to reset the chains. New rules remove this timing structure until two minutes are left in the fourth quarter.

    Totals players take note -- there are fewer plays in the game now. There is also not that time after a first down for young players to catch their breath and composure, especially during a late game rally which is the heart of drama for college scrimmage. This hurts the underdog.

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    But it doesn't necessarily hurt the underdog position in terms of cashing the ticket. These new rules allow a team ahead to bleed the clock in the fourth quarter to the point that a back door cover (favoured team scoring late to cover the number when they don't need it to win the game) is less likely.

    These new clock rules generate additional value (intrinsic, hidden, and very real) for underdogs catching between seven and fourteen points. These new rules demand such underdogs catch additional handicapping attention -- especially against run heavy teams.

    (The new clock rules are part of the reason we have waited all summer to take Michigan State as a double digit home underdog this weekend against Washington. Now, of course, Michigan State coach Tucker has been making like a Spanish World Cup gaffer and has gotten his sorry a suspended and we have to come off this game -- thanks for nothing, man. We love Penix at Washington and will bring home some big quam with him later this season, but not in this game.)

    The successful college football handicapper carries many arrows in his analytical quiver, much like the English archer at Agincourt carried different bodkin arrowheads to strike armour. In-depth knowledge of quirky lower end programmes can make all the difference in the world -- and no team fits that bill better than Arizona State.

    If you know and understand Arizona State football you can't go wrong. It is the most mercurial programme of any of the Power Five schools and from a games theory perspective represents the ideal chaos theory fractal. Know this team and the sky is the limit.

    Unfortunately our Arizona State guru Farnell is scouting a big seven on seven high school match up this week and unavailable for comment at press time. Not one to text, his two thousand word analysis of the Fresno State at Arizona State game (10.30 EDT Saturday) is a little long for this space. We share his heavily redacted thoughts on the game below:

    "We loved Arizona State when they had ******* Big Herm calling the shots. Ever since the Miracle at the Meadowlands, when he saved us with Philly on the Money Line back in '79, he has been da man. However he is toast for breaking the rules and now Saturday night Fresno State is going to kick some serious ass. The Sun Devils are on a self-imposed bowl ban in this last PAC 12 season thanks to Big Herm and his many sins; this year is more about rebuilding than winning games."

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    "State has by far the worst special teams in the PAC 12 -- any kicking play is a potential disaster for them. They start a freshman quarterback still learning the game and their offensive line discipline is terrible. They have a very good defence which is why we will look for spots later in the season -- once the QB has matured a bit -- to take them."

    "Fresno State has a game breaker in wide receiver Erik Brooks. Yeah, yeah you've never heard of him. Well he will be the fastest guy on the field and State can't single cover him. We will be heavy on him to score a TD with the prop line. Depending on the price we may take a flyer on him scoring two."

    Being from some place in the colonies called ENC, we thought to ask him his thoughts on ECU and UNC (Carolina).

    "ECU heading to Happy Appy catching the nine would have been a two unit play if the Mountaineers had beat Carolina, probably now best to let it go. As far as Carolina, hate to say it, but lacking a weather issue the Baby Blue is gonna run Minnesota right out of Kenan. This number opened six and is now seven. Heels should be good for 35 against a suspect Gophers defence and can't see Minnesota getting past 23."

    Sounds like Farnell likes Carolina. That says something because Farnell hates Carolina ever since that intentional safety at the end of the fogbound '81 Gator Bowl. He had them large and Jeff Hayes ran out the back of the end zone to end the game and let Arkansas cover the number. They are likely to smack Minnesota in large fashion.

    Fresno State rolls into Tempe with a veteran squad that has already stunned Purdue on the road opening day. This price is low because of a close FCS double overtime win last week. They are disciplined on offence and hard hitting on defence. In contrast, Arizona State will easily rack up a hundred yards in penalties in this game.

    Think about that.

    The big difference in the game is Erik Brooks. He is the type of player you would normally see at Georgia or Michigan. World class speed, precision routes and hands like glue. Fresno State will go to him early and often. Generally speaking we think player props are a terrible value but in terms of scoring a TD in this game no price is wrong -- because he will.

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    Last Saturday Arizona State recorded the highest game temperature ever at Sun Devil Stadium; even with heavily discounted tickets, nobody shows up beyond the students. There is no home field advantage. None.

    "The trend is your friend"

    Having won three straight in this space we will bump our baseline play from one unit to two. A winner this week will keep it that way.

    ometimes when a hitter is on a roll that 98 mph fastball looks like a volley ball coming in there; other times the batter sees it the size of an aspirin. When the batter sees it well he wants to be aggressive at the plate, when not he will choke up a little and shorten the swing.

    Handicapping, like hitting, can be streaky. The trend is your friend.

    Our call here is FRESNO STATE (-3) for two units. This price should be acquired early as it will move to three and the hook before going the other way. Also keep in mind it is the last game of a long Saturday card and the day's losers will be pressing to catch up. It is the rare road favourite that should be good to about seven.

    This game will be a frantic, wide-open scramble from the opening boot as fractal meets chaos theory resulting in a blowout for the forces of good:

FRESNO STATE    37  •  ARIZONA STATE    17


    The whole world on the Colorado and Prime Time train now and no price is high enough to scare the public off this spectacle. Should they cover the number this week against Colorado State then next week we will go against them and hammer Oregon to the Moon (Ducote). Currently the futures price is Oregon (-15) and with a Buffalo cover this week should drift to about (-13) by the boot.

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    Agincourt saw the triumph of the English yeomanry over the French nobility with precision, penetrating strikes. Saturday night will see The Man riddled like a pin cushion as he is smothered in Fresno State tickets -- get this one early.
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