The Shell Game of Corrupted Government Exposed
Broadsword calling Danny Boy: March Madness -- Final Four finds Aztecs and Miami still dancing; the Skorzeny gambit
In the southern part of Texas
In the town of San Antone
There's a fortress all in ruins that the weeds have overgrown
You may look in vain for crosses and you'll never see a-one
But sometimes between the setting and the rising of the sun
You can hear a ghostly bugle
As the men go marching by
You can hear them as they answer
To that roll call in the sky.
Colonel Travis, Davy Crockett, and a hundred eighty more
Captain Dickinson, Jim Bowie
Present and accounted for.
Back in 1836, Houston said to Travis
'Get some volunteers and go
Fortify the Alamo.'
Well the men came from Texas
And from old Tennessee
And they joined up with Travis
Just to fight for the right to be free.
Twice he charged and blew recall
On the fatal third time
Santa Anna breached the wall
And he killed 'em, one and all
Now the bugles are silent
And there's rust on each sword
And the small band of soldiers...
Lie asleep in the arms of the Lord. - Paul Francis Webster
The Correspondent and the Old Trench Fighter retrace Princip's journey through the back streets of Sarajevo on that fateful June day in 1914 - nineteen-ninety something: Above. Click image to enlarge.
Not since KLA shock elements seized Kosovo province from the clutches of Belgrade have a pair of southern gunslingers stunned the world like Isaiah Wong and Nijel Pack the weekend past. Number one Houston and number two seed Texas both toasted by the fearless guard tandem as the ACC makes their latest run to March glory framed by Miami's post-modern version of Butch Cassidy and The Sundance Kid.
Combined with San Diego State (Aztecs) dismantling Alabama and then tap-dancing past Creighton -- and suddenly a pair of monster tickets are but two games from plus 160 unit hits. Who could'a thunk such possible, Uncle Jed?
Obviously, Jethro, no one without the aid of a time machine.
However discussion of practical string theory application is still banned under the 2028 protocols so we are left to lament another losing weekend (Mark to Market) as Texas bites the dust for six units and the Xavier hedge likewise for another five point five south. We are down 28.5 units in this space as we prepare to close this one out like Sarava charging down the Belmont backstretch.
The trusty revolver still holds two rounds in San Diego State (+8000) for two units and Miami (+4000) for four units; if either hits the ticket will deliver 160 units (Mark to Maturity). Thus the most pleasant dilemma of the campaign yet remains: how to properly hedge these tickets in case either of the other two Final Four elements (FAU, Connecticut) take the crown.
Old school methodology would require hedging each game versus the money line realizing that three moves will be required unless both the Aztecs and Miami meet in the Championship game. That, of course, would exceed even the (in)famous Triple Middle of the Black Sunday Super Bowl between the Cowboys and Steelers back in the day.
San Diego State meeting Miami in the final game enjoying these payoff levels would be more in line with the legendary Triple Lindy in terms of epic magnitude. But alas we are not Thornton Melon and preferring a more Hari Seldon style approach, we look once more to the futures market.
Monday morning prices reveal FAU is +650 to win it all while Connecticut is -125. Hmmmmm.... There are four possible final outcomes with four teams remaining and we have two of those teams at effective 80-1 odds (Miami ticket is twice the volume of the two unit Aztecs ticket) with a potential gain of plus 160 units if either lands.
Borrowing Farnell's battered slide-rule we enter the analog world to decipher the digital universe. Following a few logarithmic jumps to the trigonometry galaxy we realise about 16 units on FAU -- delivering a 104 hit at +650 -- will result in a win of about 4.5 units after including losses to date of 28.5 units, six units lost on the Miami and San Diego tickets, and what would probably be around a 65 unit hedge on Connecticut.
Since we think FAU winning is the least likely outcome we can handle this small payoff. The fly in the ointment is Connecticut which is a strong public choice. Peeps are still not believing in Wong and Pack.
Conversely at a price of -125 (think in terms of risking five units to win four) the Connecticut hedge is expensive (perhaps less so if one was adding a little bit at a time at +375 a week ago). With 65 units on the Huskies to win it all such would deliver 52 resulting in a campaign triumph of 2.5 units after subtracting the campaign current losses, the Miami and San Diego tickets and the FAU hedge.
While either FAU or Connecticut winning would be a disappointment and somewhat underwhelming considering the other possible outcomes, the plan has always been to hedge at the end. Of course there are still two other possible outcomes as the rattling bones leave the shooter's hand.
With this plan a San Diego State championship victory results in a net campaign gain of 46.5 units. A Miami ultimate triumph lands 48.5 units. Thus with this strategy in place, as long as the games are played, there is no way to take a loss for the campaign. The math may be off a spot or two along the line as these equations scribbled Monday afternoon, but you should be getting the general idea.
This form is similar to trading in the Bond market. Livermore would be pleased.
(Hey Man, this rocket science you be spouting like Mr Spock making our heads spin 'cause maffs be hard and this week maybe even rayciss according to the TV man. How about some simpler ideas for peeps just trying to make do like Luke Combs on an old bar stool.)
Understood kemosabe. Since nobody says it better today than Luke Combs we will risk yet another dose of Farnell rambling for insight on closing out this bad boy -- in terms of the Man from Boone:
"It ain't about the fame"
The big name teams are all toast now with Connecticut the only previous winner still breathing. You are paying a premium now to go with them laying five and the hook on the line and -240 on the money line against Miami in the next round. This is a steep price to lay but if you desire Connecticut you want the money line early and to lay the points late.
The value (see below) in this game is with Miami.
"It ain't about the fortune"
Whether denominated in gold coin, Roubles or western confetti, you can't think about the value of these units when making your moves. Price is everything in determining value and by this time there is very little value left. If you want value look at FAU +650 to win it all. They are a two point underdog to San Diego State and if they pull the upset in that one, then a tremendous middle opportunity opens for the Championship game.
If you are looking to make a big score with a little outlay then that is your first move if coming in late. It will probably lose but the value is there.
"It ain't about the name"
Conference tournament time and the first two rounds of the Big Dance are where coaching is everything in terms of discerning pricing-value. The second round of the tourney is where big name coaches have the most influence in terms of adjustment, amidst a huge field on a short turnaround.
The best coach still standing is the Tony Moore doppelganger at San Diego State. Can you name him off the top of your head? Doesn't matter. San Diego State the team most likely to win the whole thing now. You can get them at +370 as of Monday afternoon.
"It ain't about the glory"
All the selfish teams with the big-name stars will be watching the Final Four from their favourite media platform. The tenth guy on the depth chart for the remaining squads will have a much better view from the bench than any of them. It is a team game and the form -- especially in officiating the game late -- recognizes this.
Assists can be a tricky stat come tournament time when so much emphasis is placed on guard scoring. Instead take the time to watch the passing -- and away from the ball movement flow -- throughout the game. Observe which teams open the half or game with a set play that results in a close shot in the lane or a dunk.
If you want glory then storm the beaches at Normandy or generate a cruise missile strike against your trespassers -- but realise that can be an iffy proposition in respect to long-term functionality (keeping your parts in proper order). Much better to understand the best guard tandem still launching the nuanced three-ball is Wong and Pack; when they head fake and drive, it is either a floater in the lane or a dunk from the wing. Recognise same-same and act accordingly.
"I guess I'm saying it's always been about"
Sun Tzu advised many centuries back the importance of knowing not only the opposition but yourself before heading into battle. This is an important diagnostic box to check before going into combat with The Man and his built-in advantage.
The entire programme outlined the last few weeks demonstrates how to factor high-end futures tickets to profit and gain while keeping the big score within reach. The futures moves above guarantee the win -- while more nuanced game by game decisions most likely will continue to make the numbers a bit better than this space may indicate.
If one knows themselves in terms of Skorzeny, they might be a bit more aggressive in the close by holding off on that entire Connecticut hedging position and instead re-insuring with a lower initial move. Of course those days were a bit different as operating behind Allied lines while wearing American uniforms during the Battle of the Bulge would get you shot on sight -- or a nice post-war retirement in Spain. Risk versus reward.
The least likely final pairing is FAU and Miami. With a futures position on FAU +650 and an under hedged Connecticut structure, such a matchup would provide a middle opportunity for the ages if leveraged against the big Hurricanes ticket. A Miami victory that did not cover the spread would see in excess of a hundred unit victory for the forces of good.
One wonders what Skorzeny would do?
Go Back
In the town of San Antone
There's a fortress all in ruins that the weeds have overgrown
You may look in vain for crosses and you'll never see a-one
But sometimes between the setting and the rising of the sun
You can hear a ghostly bugle
As the men go marching by
You can hear them as they answer
To that roll call in the sky.
Colonel Travis, Davy Crockett, and a hundred eighty more
Captain Dickinson, Jim Bowie
Present and accounted for.
Back in 1836, Houston said to Travis
'Get some volunteers and go
Fortify the Alamo.'
Well the men came from Texas
And from old Tennessee
And they joined up with Travis
Just to fight for the right to be free.
Twice he charged and blew recall
On the fatal third time
Santa Anna breached the wall
And he killed 'em, one and all
Now the bugles are silent
And there's rust on each sword
And the small band of soldiers...
Lie asleep in the arms of the Lord. - Paul Francis Webster
Not since KLA shock elements seized Kosovo province from the clutches of Belgrade have a pair of southern gunslingers stunned the world like Isaiah Wong and Nijel Pack the weekend past. Number one Houston and number two seed Texas both toasted by the fearless guard tandem as the ACC makes their latest run to March glory framed by Miami's post-modern version of Butch Cassidy and The Sundance Kid.
Combined with San Diego State (Aztecs) dismantling Alabama and then tap-dancing past Creighton -- and suddenly a pair of monster tickets are but two games from plus 160 unit hits. Who could'a thunk such possible, Uncle Jed?
Obviously, Jethro, no one without the aid of a time machine.
However discussion of practical string theory application is still banned under the 2028 protocols so we are left to lament another losing weekend (Mark to Market) as Texas bites the dust for six units and the Xavier hedge likewise for another five point five south. We are down 28.5 units in this space as we prepare to close this one out like Sarava charging down the Belmont backstretch.
The trusty revolver still holds two rounds in San Diego State (+8000) for two units and Miami (+4000) for four units; if either hits the ticket will deliver 160 units (Mark to Maturity). Thus the most pleasant dilemma of the campaign yet remains: how to properly hedge these tickets in case either of the other two Final Four elements (FAU, Connecticut) take the crown.
Old school methodology would require hedging each game versus the money line realizing that three moves will be required unless both the Aztecs and Miami meet in the Championship game. That, of course, would exceed even the (in)famous Triple Middle of the Black Sunday Super Bowl between the Cowboys and Steelers back in the day.
San Diego State meeting Miami in the final game enjoying these payoff levels would be more in line with the legendary Triple Lindy in terms of epic magnitude. But alas we are not Thornton Melon and preferring a more Hari Seldon style approach, we look once more to the futures market.
Monday morning prices reveal FAU is +650 to win it all while Connecticut is -125. Hmmmmm.... There are four possible final outcomes with four teams remaining and we have two of those teams at effective 80-1 odds (Miami ticket is twice the volume of the two unit Aztecs ticket) with a potential gain of plus 160 units if either lands.
Borrowing Farnell's battered slide-rule we enter the analog world to decipher the digital universe. Following a few logarithmic jumps to the trigonometry galaxy we realise about 16 units on FAU -- delivering a 104 hit at +650 -- will result in a win of about 4.5 units after including losses to date of 28.5 units, six units lost on the Miami and San Diego tickets, and what would probably be around a 65 unit hedge on Connecticut.
Since we think FAU winning is the least likely outcome we can handle this small payoff. The fly in the ointment is Connecticut which is a strong public choice. Peeps are still not believing in Wong and Pack.
Conversely at a price of -125 (think in terms of risking five units to win four) the Connecticut hedge is expensive (perhaps less so if one was adding a little bit at a time at +375 a week ago). With 65 units on the Huskies to win it all such would deliver 52 resulting in a campaign triumph of 2.5 units after subtracting the campaign current losses, the Miami and San Diego tickets and the FAU hedge.
While either FAU or Connecticut winning would be a disappointment and somewhat underwhelming considering the other possible outcomes, the plan has always been to hedge at the end. Of course there are still two other possible outcomes as the rattling bones leave the shooter's hand.
With this plan a San Diego State championship victory results in a net campaign gain of 46.5 units. A Miami ultimate triumph lands 48.5 units. Thus with this strategy in place, as long as the games are played, there is no way to take a loss for the campaign. The math may be off a spot or two along the line as these equations scribbled Monday afternoon, but you should be getting the general idea.
This form is similar to trading in the Bond market. Livermore would be pleased.
(Hey Man, this rocket science you be spouting like Mr Spock making our heads spin 'cause maffs be hard and this week maybe even rayciss according to the TV man. How about some simpler ideas for peeps just trying to make do like Luke Combs on an old bar stool.)
Understood kemosabe. Since nobody says it better today than Luke Combs we will risk yet another dose of Farnell rambling for insight on closing out this bad boy -- in terms of the Man from Boone:
"It ain't about the fame"
The big name teams are all toast now with Connecticut the only previous winner still breathing. You are paying a premium now to go with them laying five and the hook on the line and -240 on the money line against Miami in the next round. This is a steep price to lay but if you desire Connecticut you want the money line early and to lay the points late.
The value (see below) in this game is with Miami.
"It ain't about the fortune"
Whether denominated in gold coin, Roubles or western confetti, you can't think about the value of these units when making your moves. Price is everything in determining value and by this time there is very little value left. If you want value look at FAU +650 to win it all. They are a two point underdog to San Diego State and if they pull the upset in that one, then a tremendous middle opportunity opens for the Championship game.
If you are looking to make a big score with a little outlay then that is your first move if coming in late. It will probably lose but the value is there.
"It ain't about the name"
Conference tournament time and the first two rounds of the Big Dance are where coaching is everything in terms of discerning pricing-value. The second round of the tourney is where big name coaches have the most influence in terms of adjustment, amidst a huge field on a short turnaround.
The best coach still standing is the Tony Moore doppelganger at San Diego State. Can you name him off the top of your head? Doesn't matter. San Diego State the team most likely to win the whole thing now. You can get them at +370 as of Monday afternoon.
"It ain't about the glory"
All the selfish teams with the big-name stars will be watching the Final Four from their favourite media platform. The tenth guy on the depth chart for the remaining squads will have a much better view from the bench than any of them. It is a team game and the form -- especially in officiating the game late -- recognizes this.
Assists can be a tricky stat come tournament time when so much emphasis is placed on guard scoring. Instead take the time to watch the passing -- and away from the ball movement flow -- throughout the game. Observe which teams open the half or game with a set play that results in a close shot in the lane or a dunk.
If you want glory then storm the beaches at Normandy or generate a cruise missile strike against your trespassers -- but realise that can be an iffy proposition in respect to long-term functionality (keeping your parts in proper order). Much better to understand the best guard tandem still launching the nuanced three-ball is Wong and Pack; when they head fake and drive, it is either a floater in the lane or a dunk from the wing. Recognise same-same and act accordingly.
"I guess I'm saying it's always been about"
Sun Tzu advised many centuries back the importance of knowing not only the opposition but yourself before heading into battle. This is an important diagnostic box to check before going into combat with The Man and his built-in advantage.
The entire programme outlined the last few weeks demonstrates how to factor high-end futures tickets to profit and gain while keeping the big score within reach. The futures moves above guarantee the win -- while more nuanced game by game decisions most likely will continue to make the numbers a bit better than this space may indicate.
If one knows themselves in terms of Skorzeny, they might be a bit more aggressive in the close by holding off on that entire Connecticut hedging position and instead re-insuring with a lower initial move. Of course those days were a bit different as operating behind Allied lines while wearing American uniforms during the Battle of the Bulge would get you shot on sight -- or a nice post-war retirement in Spain. Risk versus reward.
The least likely final pairing is FAU and Miami. With a futures position on FAU +650 and an under hedged Connecticut structure, such a matchup would provide a middle opportunity for the ages if leveraged against the big Hurricanes ticket. A Miami victory that did not cover the spread would see in excess of a hundred unit victory for the forces of good.
One wonders what Skorzeny would do?
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