Stagflation Risk More Concerning Than An Outright Recession, Investors Believe | Eastern North Carolina Now

    Publisher's Note: This post appears here courtesy of the The Daily Wire. The author of this post is Ben Zeisloft.

    Institutional investors are more concerned with stagflation than a recession next year, according to a survey conducted by Natixis.

    The investment bank found that 65% of institutions see stagflation, which refers to economic stagnation combined with inflationary pressures, as a more significant threat than a recession. Rising price levels are still seen as the top overall risk for the year ahead; 69% of investors identified inflation as the greatest threat to their portfolios.

    "The market scenario projected for 2023 may look vastly different from what institutions have experienced in the past decade, but few anticipate it leading to significant changes in allocation strategy," the survey analysis explained. "While there is little planned in the way of large allocation shifts, many anticipate significant adjustments within asset classes to position portfolios for the year ahead."

    Despite the risk of stagflation, recession, and other economic calamities, investors retain a remarkably bullish outlook for most asset classes. A majority believe private equity, the bond and stock markets, and private debt hold upside potential as interest rates rise, while more significant majorities are bearish on both residential and commercial real estate, as well as cryptocurrencies.

    The companies, representing more than $20 trillion in combined assets under management, believe that war poses the greatest economic threat for next year. While 57% of overall respondents listed conflict as an issue, roughly 68% of European respondents listed war as the most salient threat.

    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon likewise pointed to geopolitical turmoil as an important consideration for economic actors during a recent interview. Members of the G7 and the European Union coordinated this week to limit the sale price of Russian seaborne oil exports at $60 per barrel worldwide; many European nations have witnessed soaring energy prices as a result of nixed Russian natural gas shipments.

    Strife between the United States and China is also worrying investors; 65% believe Chinese geopolitical ambitions will cause a bifurcation of the global economy between the two superpowers, while 74% believe such ambitions lower the appeal of investing in the nation.

    "China is chief among emerging market concerns. Two-thirds of institutions globally think emerging market investments are overly dependent on China," the Natixis analysis continued. "In an era in which China is flexing its political influence, institutions worry about how it will impact investments."

    Beyond risks induced by international conflict, respondents identified central bank policy errors as the second-largest threat. Institutions such as the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States and the Bank of England have been reversing loose monetary policy regimes established in the wake of the lockdown-induced recession. Federal Reserve officials have raised rates by three-quarters of a percentage point on four consecutive occasions, leading to volatility in the American housing market and raising the cost of borrowing money for consumers and businesses.

    Roughly 53% of investors are examining trends related to consumer spending as a primary indicator of whether economic "growth is back on track." Dimon also predicted that savings accumulated during the recession will deplete by the middle of next year. Beyond consumer spending, 49% of investors believe that business spending tops the list of growth indicators, while 47% and 43% respectively said the same about employment and productivity.

poll#162

In what may be the most divisive period in modern American History, even more divisive than the turbulent sixties due to today's lack of patriotism, consider what are the major catalysts causing so much of this calamity of conflict, and vote: What most instigates the division of America, on this day September 20, 2022?

  Racism within our society

  Sex realignment to the detriment of our society.

  Biden /Harris Wide Open Southern Border Policy for the Demographic Upheaval of OUR Constitutional Republic

  Rampant Crime in Democratic controlled cities, and the possible contagion elsewhere

  Covid Pandemic, and its mishandling at the political, and bureaucratic levels.

  The unresolved questions /allegation regarding the flawed 2020 General Election

  January 6th Riot or "Armed Insurrection", depending upon patriotic perspective

  Joe Biden as Divisive Leader; Ineffective and Corrupt Executive

  Failed Education Industry, from an overall perspective, regarding all levels of education.

  Propagandistic Media in complete conflict with the First Amendment's guarantee of Freedom of Speech, and the awesome responsibility of a Free Press..

  "Orangeman Bad!"

  Bureaucracy rushing to a behemoth size, its unjustified expense, and far too often overreach.

  The Weaponized Deep State for political purposes

  A secular ambivalence to all that is real.

  Record number of overdose deaths from opioids and now Fentanyl

  Biden Administration's disastrous Foreign Policy

  Bidenflation /supply chain failure inevitably evolving into stagflation and recession.

  "Ultra MAGA Extremists" freely speaking louder AND LOUDER!

927 total vote(s)     What's your Opinion?

poll#166

With the Midterm Elections less than one week away: What do you consider the top issues that you will be voting on to be corrected by your better representation?

  Education

  Crime

  Big Government getting Bigger

  Biden /Democrat controlled Spike in Energy Cost

  Inflation created by Legislation of Majority in Power

  Gender Reassignment

  Corrupted Bureaucratic /Service (DOJ, FBI, etc.) Institutions

  Abortion

  Discredited Legacy Media

  Ending the Corruption of Dishonest Politicians

  Corruptive Influence of Social Media

  Wide Open Southern Border

439 total vote(s)     What's your Opinion?