Australia's Freedom Convoy has inspired a mass turnout of Australian citizens angry at their government over the Covid restrictions, as hundreds of thousands of them surrounded the parliament building in Canberra to demand an end to the restrictions.
Australia has an election this year, and too many of their politicians from the major parties have grabbed the short end of the stick. Australia also has lots of small parties where protest votes can go, some of them already with seats in parliament like Pauline Hanson's anti-immigration One Nation Party.
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John Steed said:
( February 18th, 2022 @ 8:50 am )
Police in Canberra, Australia's capital have confirmed use of a dangerous and controversial LRAD device at the Freedom convoy rally. The Long Range Accoustic Device (LRAD) can operate in two modes and in one of them can cause permanent hearing loss and brain damage. Some in the protest crowd are claiming injuries. The police were forced to admit under questioning in the Australian Senate that they had deployed the LRAD, but claimed they only used it on the milder setting. A senator from the anti-immigration One Nation Party was instrucmental in drawing this admission out of the police.
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Recent bye-elections (special elections for vacant seats) for state parliamentary seats in the Australian state of New South Wales are a huge warning sign to the big parties, especially the coalition. There were four vacancies, 3 previously held by the Liberals and one by the National Party. The National Party retained its seat, but so far only one of the Liberals has. One former Liberal seat that had never been held by any other party in its history, was lost. In another which has been considered one of the safest seats in Australia where Liberals usually win by over 20 points has the Liberal candidate narrowly clinging to a slim lead over an Independent with votes still to be counted. This should be a wake up call to the big parties, especially Prime Minister Scott Morrison.
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It looks like the pushback against Covid tyranny may well roil Australia's election this year. Both major political forces are tainted with heavy handed Covid restrictions, which may open the way for Australia's smaller parties, especially given the election procedures down under. Smaller parties have historically done reasonably well in Senate races but less so in House races.
Australians do not just vote for their first choice, but also second, third, fourth, etc. At each counting, the lowest candidate is eliminated and their votes reallocated by the next preference of each voter. Smaller parties make alliances to shift their votes to other small parties and their voters usually honor those. The first small party to really thrive under this procedure several decades ago was the now mostly defunct Democratic Labour Party, a conservative working class party. The main political forces in Australia are the Labour Party on the left and the conservative coalition on the right consisting of the National Party that runs mostly in rural areas and the Liberal Party (they use "liberal" in the traditional sense of small government and lower taxes) which runs in other parts of the country. All three of these parties are heavily tainted with Covid tyranny, as is the main small party of the left, the Green Party. Small parties have done best in senate races, where all senators from a state run together in a multi-seat race, as opposed to the single member constituencies in the House. Currently, the two most viable small parties of the right are the anti-immigration One Nation Party, which won four Senate seats in the last election, and the social conservative Family First Party, which has been consistent over the long haul of winning one to two Senate seats every election. There are a number of other small conservative and libertarian parties which offer candidates. Then there are the small parties organized around the personality of someone who has initially won office as an independent, all of whom are relatively conservative. One that showed the potential here was independent Senator Nick Xenophon of South Australia, who was originally elected on a platform of ending video gambling, but after accomplishing that changed his focus to fighting against wind and solar energy. With his new platform, Xenophon's newly formed party won four of South Australia's federal Senate seats. When Xenophon changed his focus from federal elections to state elections, however, his renamed South Australia - Best Party imploded, largely because they backed off of their signature issue of fighting wind and solar. There are now three incumbent independent House or Senate members who have personality based parties that run around the country. All of them are relatively conservative and could see a breakout this election. The small parties include a number that are harder to categorize like the Motoring Enthusiasts Party, which won a senate seat a couple of elections back and the Sex Party that almost won a senate seat last election. The major parties are seeing significant parts of their base discontented with the country's hard line in favor of Covid restrictions, and those voters could easily move to smaller parties. For example, the Labour Party has heavily depended on Labour unions for election support, but many rank and file union members are strongly opposed to the Covid restrictions. In one incident, when the union leadership backed a Labour-run state government's vaccine requirements, thousands of disgruntled union members stormed their own union headquarters, and after police prevented them from sacking it, the next day they blocked major roads to protest the police protecting the union bosses. It is hard to imagine these union workers being very enthused about voting Labour this time or listening to the union bosses about who to vote for. By the same token, many base voters of the coalition are unhappy with the heavy handed Covid measures of Prime Minister Scott Morrison. Given this pushback, it is likely that House as well as Senate seats will be in play with the smaller parties this election. |
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