Mark Levin: Why there was no Red Wave | Eastern North Carolina Now | Numbers explain it all

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"Life, Liberty & Levin" host Mark Levin


"Life, Liberty & Levin" host Mark Levin addressed the Republicans' underwhelming performance in last week's midterm elections in his opening monologue Sunday, telling viewers that the expected GOP gains were "mathematically impossible" and never indicated a "red wave," despite polling and predictions.

"I noticed that many of the same people who were wrong about a red wave are now telling us what to think about a non-red wave. The experts, the consultants, the ruling class, the media, the politicians. We need to think for ourselves, enough of the static," the host said over the weekend. "I said before the election, and I said repeatedly here and on radio: Forget about the red wave. Forget about a red tsunami. Forget about Armageddon and vote."

In the Senate, Republicans had to defend 20 of the 34 seats up for re-election. To win the majority, Republicans would have had to "tap into" the 14 Democrat incumbent seats, the host explained.


"Life, Liberty & Levin" host Mark Levin (screenshot)

"That was a tall hill to climb. And this is one of the reasons I wasn't on this red-wave bandwagon so fast," he said. "I needed to think about it. 2024. This is the key. The next election cycle, 33 seats are up. Now, listen to this. Two-thirds of them are Democrat seats. So the Democrats have to defend 23 Senate seats. The Republicans have to defend only ten."


"So," he continued, "the math in 2022 never really led to a red wave possibility and the math in 2024, it does lead to a red wave possibility. Does that mean there will be one? Of course not. But I'm just explaining the math, the simple math. We had about 60% of the seats up. They have almost 70% of the seats up in the next round. So what does that mean? Democrats needed to have some serious gains in the Senate last week to stave off a disaster in 2024. They failed miserably."

Levin said the suggestion that the GOP would flip six Senate seats "was never going to happen.

"It was a mathematical impossibility," he argued.

While the GOP "fell short" in the House, "it's very likely the Republicans will, in fact, take the House, [though] by a much smaller number," Levin said.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., speaks to reporters following a Republican caucus at the Capitol in Washington.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., speaks to reporters following a Republican caucus at the Capitol in Washington. (AP)


"They'll appoint the speaker. They'll control the committees. Look, in the lead up to the election, pollsters, consultants, Republican operatives and D.C. commentators were talking about a red wave as if it had already occurred. What they based it on was flawed and inaccurate," he said.

Looking ahead to 2024, Levin said Republicans have a much higher chance of pulling off a true "red wave" than they did in last week's midterms.

"In 2024, [Democrats are] in a horrendous situation when two-thirds of the Senate seats that are up are Democrat seats, and they're [now] celebrating that they only lost the House by a relative few votes, but they lost the House. And the GOP can now block these radical kook programs that Biden's pushing. They can conduct investigations. They can do what they need to do, and they damn well better. But is this good enough? No, it's not good enough," he went on.

"If the Republicans allow the same D.C. establishment, many of whom you see on TV all the time, telling you how smart they are and they know everything, if they allow them to control the agenda and the money, the future is bleak," Levin said.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, alongside Republican House leadership, holds a press conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, June 9, 2022. 

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, alongside Republican House leadership, holds a press conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, June 9, 2022.  (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)


"The message out of this is, listen to the Washington experts, the Washington establishment, the… Washington politicians and the Republican Party will get smeared. I want you to think for yourself," he told viewers. "Don't let these people think for you."

"If people govern like conservatives, the Senate will be mathematically positioned for Republicans to have big gains" in 2024, Levin concluded. 

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( November 14th, 2022 @ 1:43 pm )
Here is how you can help replace Mitch McConnell as a result of his role in our 2022 loss.

We need our new senator, Ted Budd, to help end the reign of Mitch McConnell, whose actions and lack of actions, both legislatively and politically, have failed us and were a big part of why we did not win control of the Senate. The Senate GOP caucus is meeting in the next few days to consider leadership and there will be an effort to put McConnell back in. Please call Budd's congressional office at 202-225-4531 and urge him to vote to replace McConnell.

It is probably a waste of time, but you can call Tillis' office, too.
( November 14th, 2022 @ 8:50 am )
This is one time I have to disagree with Mark Levin. The issues were there for a substantial Republican gain, even if the number of opportunities in the Senate were somewhat limited. We had leadership in Washington and Raleigh that were incompetent (or worse) in the extreme, the worst offender being Mitch McConnell. McConnell and to a lesser degree McCarthy (and also Berger and Moore at the state level) failed to raise the issues and make the sharp distincitions they needed to. McConnell and McCarthy spent contributor money trashing conservatives in primaries. Sandy Smith was an example locally, as McCarthy spent half a million on particularly brutal personal attacks in the primary and four million overall against her. Imagine if that money had been deployed against liberal Democrat Don Davis instead? McConnell spent millions savaging General Don Bolduc in the New Hampshire primary and then refused to spend anything to help him in a close race in November. Our rotten leadership in Raleigh and Washington simply HAS to go.

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