Could Andrew Cuomo Actually Lose in New York? | Eastern North Carolina Now

    Publisher's note: This informational nugget was sent to me by Ben Shapiro, who represents the Daily Wire, and since this is one of the most topical news events, it should be published on BCN.

    New York Governor Andrew Cuomo is highly unlikely to lose to Sex and the City actress Cynthia Nixon in his primary re-election bid. The latest polls, from late July, show Nixon trailing Cuomo by some 30 points. But it's also clear that she's got the momentum with the passionate Democratic base. This week, Cuomo went before a women's group and suggested that "America was never great," drawing the ire of Americans across the country. Nixon rightly shot back that Cuomo was a phony: "I think this is just another example of Andrew Cuomo trying to figure out what a progressive sounds like and missing by a mile."

    Now Cuomo has acquiesced to Nixon's debate request - a move that can only hurt him, since she'll be able to outflank him on nearly every issue from the Left. And after his "America was never great" debacle, Cuomo backtracked, leading The Huffington Post to blast him with a banner headline: "QUIVERING CUOMO FOLDS TO TRUMP!"

    Cuomo will have to move dramatically to the Left again if he hopes to head off the lack of enthusiasm for his candidacy among members of the Democratic faithful. And that's likely to happen. In his book, Skin in the Game, Nassim Nicholas Taleb writes about "renormalization" - a process by which a small group of people can draw a far larger group of people toward more radical positions. That happens when the transaction costs of resisting the radicals is higher than the transaction costs of surrendering to the radicals. Cuomo loses nothing with moderate Democrats by tacking to the Left - he's the "moderate" candidate. So he's likely to start parroting Nixon more and more.

    Which means that no matter what, Nixon wins. The Democratic Party has continued its steady move to the Left since 2010. And that's likely to continue, given moderate Democratic unwillingness to actually fight back against the socialist takeover of their party.