A Look Ahead to the Post COVID-19 Recovery | Eastern North Carolina Now

Andrew Stuttaford explains at National Review Online why we should not expect a quick recovery from the economic hit triggered by the coronavirus.

ENCNow
Publisher's note: The author of this post is Mitch Kokai for the John Locke Foundation.

    Andrew Stuttaford explains at National Review Online why we should not expect a quick recovery from the economic hit triggered by the coronavirus.

  • The economic numbers are beginning to come in, and, predictably enough, just about wherever you check, they are appalling. In Pennsylvania alone last week there were more than 350,000 first-time claims for unemployment assistance. That compares with (seasonally adjusted) initial national claims over the last year averaging in the low 200,000s, and the news is only going to get worse in Pennsylvania and, probably, every other state. ...
  • ... Goldman's economists are, however, anticipating that GDP will recover by (an again annualized) 12 per cent in the third quarter. But the damage inflicted on the economy is not going to be easily undone: Unemployment was expected to peak at 9 percent. Bad though that unemployment figure may be, my guess (and currently that is all that any forecast can be) is that it, along with hopes of a more or less V-shaped recovery, will turn out to be too optimistic. Even if the parts of the economy that have been braked or switched off were to start up again tomorrow, it would take a while for them to return to any approximation of business as usual.
  • Take a look at consumer spending, some 70 percent of GDP. Even if all the furloughed and the fired could resume what they were doing (or, in the case of workers from home, go back to the office), many of them will have drained their savings or gone deeper into debt. Meanwhile a good portion of those who have kept their jobs will have learned that they are more vulnerable than they might previously have thought.

Go Back


Leave a Guest Comment

Your Name or Alias
Your Email Address ( your email address will not be published )
Enter Your Comment ( text only please )




Avoid Unnecessary Education Losses, Give Parents Choice John Locke Foundation Guest Editorial, Editorials, Op-Ed & Politics Large Sum Secured for Hospitals in Coronavirus Relief Package


HbAD0

Latest Op-Ed & Politics

"Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is a foolish man, full of foolish and vapid ideas," former Governor Chris Christie complained.
Bureaucrats believe they set policy for spending taxpayer dollars usurping the directions of elected officials.
would allow civil lawsuit against judge if released criminal causes harm

HbAD1

"This highly provocative move was designed to interfere with our counter narco-terror operations."
Charlie Kirk, 31 years of age, who was renowned as one of the most important and influential college speakers /Leaders in many decades; founder of Turning Point USA, has been shot dead at Utah Valley University.
The Trump administration took actions against Harvard related to the anti-Israel protests that roiled its campus.
In remembrance of the day that will forever seer the concept of 'evil' in our minds, let's look back at that fateful morning, exactly 11 years ago today to that series of horrific events which unfolded before our unbelieving eyes......

HbAD2

faced 25 years in prison for "misgendering" a leftie tranny politician
illegal alien "asylum seeker" migrants are a crime wave on both sides of the Atlantic
It was a clear beautiful, royal blue sky day on Wall Street. The S & P futures were up markedly, awaiting a positive open, as I turn to get my first cup of coffee. I return to CNBC to get the morning business news, when I notice that the S & P futures are falling, and they're falling fast.
conservative youth leader was victim of political assassination

HbAD3

 
Back to Top