Agenda 2012: Federal Aid Dependency | Eastern NC Now

   Publisher's note: Agenda 2012 is the John Locke Foundation's charge to make known their wise political agenda to voters, and most especially candidates, with our seventh installment being the "State Spending Restraint," written by Fergus Hodgson, Director of Fiscal Policy Studies, John Locke Foundation. The first installment was the "Introduction" published here.

    Since the onset of the Great Recession, federal legislators have rapidly expanded debt-financed aid-to-state programs. North Carolina is no exception to the trend of states with greater dependence, and federal aid is now roughly equal to general funds as a source of state revenue. (Two states, Louisiana and Oklahoma, now receive a majority of their revenues through federal aid.)

    Federal aid erodes state sovereignty since federal officials often use the threat of reduced aid to dictate state policy. But it has two other, less obvious effects which merit attention since they tend towards long-run fiscal shortfalls.

    First, when federal officials are borrowing money -- or generating it anew through the Federal Reserve System -- they are not subject to a balanced budget constraint. If they send that borrowed money to state officials, they allow them to bypass their own state-level balanced budget constraints and achieve deficit financing against the will of constituents.

    Second, many federal grants have sunset clauses, but once created the recipients remain even after the money runs out. That means state officials face political pressure to perpetuate what were originally federally funded programs. The recent dispute over how to maintain and fund the number of taxpayer-funded teachers in North Carolina after federal "stimulus" funding ran out is one such example.

Key Facts

    •    After declining in 2006 and 2007, the flow of federal aid to state and local governments has grown in every year since -- including by 15 and 12 percent in 2009 and 2010 respectively.

    •    In this fiscal year of 2012, federal aid comprises 36 percent of North Carolina's revenues, up from 25 percent in 2000 and 21 percent in 1975. Federal aid for every North Carolina resident is $1,865.

    •    30 percent of that federal aid in 2012 was debt financed. As a portion of the $18.3 billion that North Carolina received, it equates to a deficit of $5.4 billion, or more than 10 percent of total state spending.

    •    Each dollar of temporary federal aid tends to raise taxes by 40 cents after cessation of the funding -- as estimated by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University.

Recommendations

    1.    Support a resolution for a state initiated amendments convention for a fiscal constraint on the federal government. Forty-nine states have some form of balanced budget and a majority of United States residents support an amendment against further federal deficits. The National Debt Relief Amendment, endorsed by the American Legislative Exchange Council and passed in North Dakota and Louisiana, is one simple solution of this sort.
    2.    Avoid all federal aid that brings requirements more onerous than the benefits. Keep in mind that the requirements include both those stated explicitly in the grant legislation and the political pressure to perpetuate a program once federal officials discontinue the aid.
    3.    Align with federal officials who support initiatives to restrain federal deficits and discontinue federal aid as a normal course of policy.



    Analyst: Fergus Hodgson

     Director of Fiscal Policy Studies
     (919)828-3876 • fhodgson@johnlocke.org