Right, populists handily win both German state elections today say exit polls

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Right, populists handily win both German state elections today say exit polls

Published: Sunday, September 1st, 2024 @ 8:37 pm
By: John Steed ( More Entries )

Two German states, Saxony and Thuringia held elections today (Sunday) and the exit polls are showing a resounding triumph for parties of the right and populism, while support for the parties of the left-liberal national coalition government has cratered. Key issues for the populist parties of both left and right, have been opposition to illegal immigration, opposition to the green agenda, and opposition to the woke agenda. The exit polls showed that the populist right AfD won big among the youth vote and the working class vote.

In Thuringia, the populist anti-immigration right Alternativ fur Deutschland (AfD) won its first state election with 33.5%, followed by the traditional conservative CDU at 26.5%. In third place was the new populist left BSW, which opposes illegal immigation, wokeness, and the green agenda but is more traditionally left on other issues, at 14.5%.

Two parties of the national government coalition, the leftwing Green Party and the liberal Free Democrats, lost all of their seats in the Thuringian parliament, while the lead party of the national coaltion, the Social Democrats, was humiliated with only 6.5%. The far left Left Party, which was the largest in the outgoing parliament was reduced to fourth place with 11.5%.

In Saxony, where the outgoing government was led by the CDU, that party narrowly came in first place at 32%, closely followed by the AfD at 31.5%. The populist left BSW was third at 11.5%. Among the national government coalition parties, the liberal Free Democrats lost all of their seats, and the Green Party was on the knife edge of losing all its seats, while the Social Democrats came in with a very unimpressive 7.5%. The Left Party also lost all its seats.

This was a drubbing for the national "traffic light coalition" and a huge vote against illegal immigration. In Thuringia, the total vote for all three parties of the national coalition government was 11.5% combined, and in Saxony it was 13.5%.

A third German state, Brandenburg, has its state election in a few weeks, and similar trends are expected there.

https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/exit-poll-germanys-afd-wins-first-state-election/

https://rmx.news/germany/backed-by-youth-and-working-class-afd-wins-big-in-german-state-elections-while-far-left-government-crashes/

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/german-ruling-coalition-crushed-regional-elections-afd-scores-first-victory-german-right

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Steven P. Rader said:

( September 4th, 2024 @ 9:11 pm )

What is funny is the tantrum being pitched by national Chancellor Schultz of the Social Democrats, whose own party and their national allies got creamed in these elections, demanding that the AfD not be allowed into either state government. Kowtowing to similar demands by Macron in France has just split France's traditional conservative Les Republicains in two, and the CDU faces a similar risk.

The math in Thuringia almost requires including the AfD, which won 32 or the 45 seats needed for a majority. They could get a solid majority either as a right of center coalition with the CDU's 23 seats or a right / left populist coalition with the BSW's 15 seats.

Building a coalition led by the CDU is not mathematically possible without including the Left Party, which in Thuringia is the old East German Communist Party. If they rebuke the populist right to go with the barely reformed ex-communists, it is unlikely that CDU voters in Thuringia or elsewhere in Germany would stand for it. Such a coalition would also not be mathematically possible without having both the Left Party and the BSW both in it, and there is lots of bad blood betwwen those two parties.

Saxony also has challenging math. To get a 61 seat majority, the most logical is combining the CDU's 41 seats and the AfD's 40 seats. That is the only two party coalition that is even possible and for either to build a multi-party coalition would require a lot of strange bedfellows.