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Published: Saturday, September 27th, 2014 @ 12:47 am
By: John Locke Foundation ( More Entries )

Publisher's note: The author of this post is Dr. Roy Cordato, who is Vice President for Research and resident scholar for the John Locke Foundation.

It is being reported on the Watts Up With That blog that the no global warming trend now stands at 17 years 11 months. (See graph below.) This is in spite of the fact that CO2 emissions and atmospheric concentrations have continued to increase throughout this period. When A is theorized to cause B, and repeatedly when A occurs B does not, a scientist that is not driven by something other than the discovery of truth will either reject his theory or significantly revise it. In the field of climate science, unfortunately, we are seeing too many individuals who have ceased being scientists. In the face of models that have all failed to predicted this stand still in warming, the warmist modelers refuse to question their hypothesis.

In terms of the models, the graph below shows the IPCC warming projections (red) for the last decade compared to the actual non-warming reality.

Here are some key facts presented in the blog that run contrary to the so-called consensus view on global warming.

Key facts about global temperature

The RSS satellite dataset shows no global warming at all for 215 months from October 1996 to August 2014. That is more than half the 428-month satellite record.
The fastest measured centennial warming rate was in Central England from 1663-1762, at 0.9 degrees C/century -- before the industrial revolution. It was not our fault.
The global warming trend since 1900 is equivalent to 0.8 degrees C per century. This is well within natural variability and may not have much to do with us.
The fastest measured warming trend lasting ten years or more occurred over the 40 years from 1694-1733 in Central England. It was equivalent to 4.3 degrees C per century.
Since 1950, when a human influence on global temperature first became theoretically possible, the global warming trend has been equivalent to below 1.2 degrees C per century.
The fastest warming rate lasting ten years or more since 1950 occurred over the 33 years from 1974 to 2006. It was equivalent to 2.0 degrees C per century.
In 1990, the IPCC's mid-range prediction of near-term warming was equivalent to 2.8 degrees C per century, higher by two-thirds than its current prediction of 1.7 degrees C/century.
The global warming trend since 1990, when the IPCC wrote its first report, is equivalent to below 1.4 degrees C per century -- half of what the IPCC had then predicted.
Though the IPCC has cut its near-term warming prediction, it has not cut its high-end business as usual centennial warming prediction of 4.8 degrees C warming to 2100.
The IPCC's predicted 4.8 degrees C warming by 2100 is well over twice the greatest rate of warming lasting more than ten years that has been measured since 1950.
The IPCC's 4.8 degrees C-by-2100 prediction is almost four times the observed real-world warming trend since we might in theory have begun influencing it in 1950.
From 1 April 2001 to 1 July 2014, the warming trend on the mean of the 5 global-temperature datasets is nil. No warming for 13 years 4 months.
Recent extreme weather cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming. It is as simple as that.

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Gene Scarborough said:

( September 27th, 2014 @ 9:37 am )

I think we need to add another level of LOGIC to Global Warming ~~~ what happened with the Ice Age / what the geologic record shows across the Pamlico River at PCS.

No temperature trend is instant, rather over eons of earth history. The "Sandhills" around Fort Bragg is nothing but the former NC beach when the earth warmed, the polar caps melted, the oceans rose. That geologic record shows clearly that the Pamlico River was some 200' UNDERWATER!!!! The things they are digging from the sediment they are mining are Megalith sharks / other oceanic remains / layers upon layers laid down for eons at the bottom of the sea at the time.

Another consideration on weather is the growing intensity of hurricanes. It is my contention that we are clear-cutting the rain forests in South America. Our gigantic logging machines can take down an acre per hour and leave the bare ground to heat like an oven eye the storms from Africa as they form into hurricanes such as Katrina.

A low-altitude ride in a private plane over rivers or that ribbon of highway, NC-64, tells you air currents rise or fall in a curtain of convected air. Where, once, summer storms slowly went to the south as they traveled toward our sounds --- now they are steered more due east. At Tarboro you can count on heavier snow as that moist winter air crosses the highway.

I think we are being fools NOT to consider mankind's effects on weather. The more of us there are --- and the more we can change the earth with damming rivers and building highways as well as de-forestation ---- the more we are a factor in natural cycles of warming and cooling along with rain and storms.

We are but keepers of that which God created. If we abuse our little blue dot in the heavens orbiting a small star, that blue ball can reduce us to a manageable portion of the earth. If you doubt me, ask the mammals and dinosaurs what happened to them.