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The new Civitas Partisan Index shows North Carolina’s political landscape ahead of 2026.
The new Civitas Partisan Index shows North Carolina’s political landscape ahead of 2026.
 
Two Democratic members of North Carolina’s congressional delegation are ranked among the most likely to be picked off in 2024, according to a new analysis from Roll Call.
Two Democratic members of North Carolina’s congressional delegation are ranked among the most likely to be picked off in 2024, according to a new analysis from Roll Call.
 
The fall season in North Carolina brings with it the promise of not just colorful leaves on trees but a pivotal shift in redistricting.
The fall season in North Carolina brings with it the promise of not just colorful leaves on trees but a pivotal shift in redistricting.
 
Now that the North Carolina General Assembly has passed congressional maps, candidates are announcing their intentions to run for one of the states 14 congressional seats.
Now that the North Carolina General Assembly has passed congressional maps, candidates are announcing their intentions to run for one of the states 14 congressional seats.
 
The North Carolina General Assembly has passed three maps for the state House, state Senate, and US Congress, respectively. Redistricting is not subject to a veto from the governor, so the newly passed maps are now law.
The North Carolina General Assembly has passed three maps for the state House, state Senate, and US Congress, respectively. Redistricting is not subject to a veto from the governor, so the newly passed maps are now law.
 
On Monday, the state Senate Redistricting and Elections Committee passed S.B. 757, which could become the lines for North Carolina’s fourteen U.S. Congressional districts.
On Monday, the state Senate Redistricting and Elections Committee passed S.B. 757, which could become the lines for North Carolina’s fourteen U.S. Congressional districts.
 
North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper has recently made the national media rounds claiming that the current General Assembly is a partisan gerrymander. Does this claim have any merit? The short answer is not at all.
North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper has recently made the national media rounds claiming that the current General Assembly is a partisan gerrymander. Does this claim have any merit? The short answer is not at all.
 
The news of Rep. Tricia Cotham, Mecklenburg County, changing her party affiliation from Democrat to Republican has sent shockwaves throughout the North Carolina politics, even making national headlines.
The news of Rep. Tricia Cotham, Mecklenburg County, changing her party affiliation from Democrat to Republican has sent shockwaves throughout the North Carolina politics, even making national headlines.
 
House Bill 99 looks to modify Wake County Commissioners elections from partisan and countywide to non-partisan elections and by district. This proposed change has caused some to exaggerate the impact of the bill. So, what do the numbers say?
House Bill 99 looks to modify Wake County Commissioners elections from partisan and countywide to non-partisan elections and by district. This proposed change has caused some to exaggerate the impact of the bill. So, what do the numbers say?
 
Those Races That Trended Away from Their Partisan Leanings Were Mostly Predictable
 
Few things shock me regarding political campaigns, whether that be an extreme exaggeration of candidates’ positions, overblown scandals spread on social media, or blatant fearmongering to get just a few more voters to come out for their preferred candidate.
Few things shock me regarding political campaigns, whether that be an extreme exaggeration of candidates’ positions, overblown scandals spread on social media, or blatant fearmongering to get just a few more voters to come out for their preferred candidate.
 
As North Carolinians start early voting Oct. 20 and head to the polls Nov. 8, a few races in the Charlotte area will be among those political analysts watch to learn the balance of the state General Assembly and the congressional delegation.
As North Carolinians start early voting Oct. 20 and head to the polls Nov. 8, a few races in the Charlotte area will be among those political analysts watch to learn the balance of the state General Assembly and the congressional delegation.
 
What are the chances of the GOP winning a supermajority in North Carolina’s General Assembly in this November’s General Election?
What are the chances of the GOP winning a supermajority in North Carolina’s General Assembly in this November’s General Election?
 
A state Supreme Court law clerk is taking a leave of absence while he runs for a seat in the N.C. House of Representatives.
A state Supreme Court law clerk is taking a leave of absence while he runs for a seat in the N.C. House of Representatives.
 
N.C. legislative leaders raise concerns about a Democratic state Supreme Court law clerk who's running for a state House seat.
N.C. legislative leaders raise concerns about a Democratic state Supreme Court law clerk who's running for a state House seat.
 
North Carolina Senate Republicans may have an even greater likelihood of picking up a supermajority after the Democratic candidate in one of the state’s most competitive seats dropped out of the race.
North Carolina Senate Republicans may have an even greater likelihood of picking up a supermajority after the Democratic candidate in one of the state’s most competitive seats dropped out of the race.
 
“Republicans will need to win two of the five lean Democratic districts to retake a supermajority in the Senate, and eight of 13 lean Democratic districts in the House,” said Jim Stirling.
“Republicans will need to win two of the five lean Democratic districts to retake a supermajority in the Senate, and eight of 13 lean Democratic districts in the House,” said Jim Stirling.
 
Incumbent state Sen. Norm Sanderson of Pamlico County will represent the Republican Party on the fall ballot after defeating fellow incumbent state Sen. Bob Steinburg of Edenton. Sanderson won 56% of the vote to Steinburg’s 44%.
Incumbent state Sen. Norm Sanderson of Pamlico County will represent the Republican Party on the fall ballot after defeating fellow incumbent state Sen. Bob Steinburg of Edenton. Sanderson won 56% of the vote to Steinburg’s 44%.
 
A new Civitas poll shows that Republican candidates running for U.S. Congress and the state legislature in North Carolina are in good shape heading into the 2022 midterm election.
A new Civitas poll shows that Republican candidates running for U.S. Congress and the state legislature in North Carolina are in good shape heading into the 2022 midterm election.
 
Different methods and different data can lead to very different results
 
With the dust finally settled on the latest (but certainly not last) round of North Carolina’s redistricting wars, we can take stock of how those districts could perform in the next election.
With the dust finally settled on the latest (but certainly not last) round of North Carolina’s redistricting wars, we can take stock of how those districts could perform in the next election.
 
As of Friday, March 4, all legislative districts and candidates are set for this year’s state legislative races.
As of Friday, March 4, all legislative districts and candidates are set for this year’s state legislative races.
 
Having already discussed the two incumbent primaries in the senate, Senate District Forty-Seven Hise v. Ballard and Senate District One Steinburg v. Sanderson. We now look to the House of Representatives and its incumbent primaries.
Having already discussed the two incumbent primaries in the senate, Senate District Forty-Seven Hise v. Ballard and Senate District One Steinburg v. Sanderson. We now look to the House of Representatives and its incumbent primaries.
 
On Monday, March 7th, we discussed the competitive primary of two Republican leaders in the western part of the state
On Monday, March 7th, we discussed the competitive primary of two Republican leaders in the western part of the state
 
The John Locke Foundation releases an updated Civitas Partisan Index on court-ordered legislative maps
 
A new partisan index for seats in the N.C. General Assembly shows a nearly even split between Republicans and Democrats headed into the midterm elections.
A new partisan index for seats in the N.C. General Assembly shows a nearly even split between Republicans and Democrats headed into the midterm elections.
 
Dr. Andy Jackson, director of the John Locke Foundation’s Civitas Center for Public Integrity, explains the Civitas Partisan Index.
Dr. Andy Jackson, director of the John Locke Foundation’s Civitas Center for Public Integrity, explains the Civitas Partisan Index.
 
In my previous research brief, I noted how the General Assembly could use the findings of the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses to help them draw districts in compliance with the North Carolina Supreme Court’s February 4 ruling in North Carolina League of Conservation Voters v. Hall.
In my previous research brief, I noted how the General Assembly could use the findings of the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses to help them draw districts in compliance with the North Carolina Supreme Court’s February 4 ruling in North Carolina League of Conservation Voters v. Hall.
 
I previously wrote how the General Assembly could use the findings of the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses to help them draw congressional districts in compliance with the North Carolina Supreme Court’s February 4 ruling in North Carolina League of Conservation Voters v. Hall.
I previously wrote how the General Assembly could use the findings of the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses to help them draw congressional districts in compliance with the North Carolina Supreme Court’s February 4 ruling in North Carolina League of Conservation Voters v. Hall.
 
The Democratic majority on the court has a range of options, but the upcoming election could act as a brake on their taking extreme action
The Democratic majority on the court has a range of options, but the upcoming election could act as a brake on their taking extreme action
 
By asking the court to impose a "median outcome" only "at a statewide level," they are functionally asking the court to impose gerrymanders at the county level
By asking the court to impose a "median outcome" only "at a statewide level," they are functionally asking the court to impose gerrymanders at the county level
 
A small advantage in public support Republicans have over Democrats translates into a larger advantage in both statewide and legislative races
A small advantage in public support Republicans have over Democrats translates into a larger advantage in both statewide and legislative races
 
One of my resolutions for the new year is to spend less time being outraged by flame-throwers on social media and instead spend more time learning from the straight-talking pros.
One of my resolutions for the new year is to spend less time being outraged by flame-throwers on social media and instead spend more time learning from the straight-talking pros.
 
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