Potential For Inclement Weather This Weekend | Eastern North Carolina Now

    Good Afternoon Everyone,

    Our office is currently monitoring the forecast of an approaching low-pressure system that is expected to bring rain, elevated winds, and localized flooding to many areas along Eastern NC Sunday and Monday. Please know that this is a very dynamic weather system with an evolving forecast. The current forecast for Beaufort County includes:

    Rain

• Rain chances will increase after sunrise Sunday and continue through noon on Monday, with most areas currently forecasted to receive 2 to 3 inches.
• Our heaviest rains are currently expected to occur between 1pm Sunday afternoon and 8am Monday morning.

    Winds

• Our forecasted winds will transition through various intensities and direction as follows:
• Sunday 8a - 5pm: East winds sustained between 10 and 15 mph with frequent gust of 25+ mph.
• Sunday 6pm - 10pm: SE winds sustained between 15 and 20 mph with frequent gust of 20 to 25 mph.
• Sunday 11pm - Monday 8am: South winds between 10 and 15 mph with frequent gust of 20 to 25 mph.
• Monday 9am - 3pm: SW winds sustained between 15 and 20 mph with frequent gust of 25+ mph.
• Monday 4pm - 11pm: W winds sustained between 10 and 15 mph with frequent gust of 15 to 20 mph.
• Tuesday 12 am - 10am: NW winds sustained around 10 mph with frequent gust of 15 to 20 mph.
• Tuesday 11am - 8pm: North winds sustained between 10 and 15 mph with frequent gust of 15 to 20 mph.

    Flooding

• Heavy rains along with elevated South and SE winds that will push water up the Pamlico River are expected to create a potential flooding hazard for shoreline and low-lying areas on Sunday. While surge amounts have yet to be included in the forecast, our office would not be surprised to see references of inundation levels ranging between 2 and 4 feet above normally dry ground in future updates. This expectation is based on the wind direction and intensity forecasted for Sunday. If these forecasted conditions remain true, we anticipate the levels along our waterways to quickly rise after 8am Sunday morning and continue through the daylight hours. That increased water level would most likely remain through midnight Sunday before subsiding early Monday morning.

    What To Watch For

• Again, there are a lot of factors playing into the forecast of this approaching system and many of the details remain unclear. We encourage everyone to be paying particular attention to the following potentials:
• Increasing Wind Gust Values - The latest forecast trends suggest that wind gust could increase for our area, with some models referencing gust ranging between 35 and 45 mph for Sunday.
• Surge / Inundation Values - Again, the forecasted winds conditions will impact the levels along our waterways. We anticipate having details pertaining to this level in future forecast updates from the National Weather Service.

    Please see the email below and attached briefing from the National Weather Service (NWS) for additional information. Our office will continue to pass along updates we receive them.

    As always, we thank you all for what you do to keep Beaufort County informed, prepared and safe.


   Chris Newkirk
   Deputy Director
   Beaufort County Emergency Services
   1420 Highland Dr
   Washington, NC 27889
   Office: (252)940-6511
   Cell: (252) 378-5352


    Good afternoon,

    A strong low is forecast to impact eastern NC Sunday into Monday. There is a potential for several impacts from this system including localized flooding, gusty winds, dangerous marine conditions, and coastal impacts.

    Please see the attached briefing for the latest information.

    If you have any questions or concerns, please don't hesitate to reach out.

NWS_Morehead_City_Multiple_Hazards_One_Pager_1_Dec_13_2023.pdf

    Regards,

    NWS Newport/Morehead City


   NOAA - National Weather Service
   Newport/Morehead City, NC Weather Forecast Office
   533 Roberts Rd
   Newport, NC 28570