5pm Update - Severe Weather Potential Fri. & Sat. | Eastern NC Now

This afternoon’s update included minor changes to the timing of this weekend’s impacts and forecasted wind values.

ENCNow
News Release:

    Good Afternoon Everyone,

    This afternoon's update included minor changes to the timing of this weekend's impacts and forecasted wind values. These changes have been underlined below.

    Rain

  • Rain chances will increase after 5pm Friday and continue through 2am, with most areas currently forecasted to receive 1/4 to 1/2" of an inch.
  • Our heaviest rains are expected to occur between 8p and midnight.

    Winds

  • Our forecasted winds will transition through various intensities and direction as follows:
  • Friday 1pm - 8pm: SE winds sustained between 10 and 20 mph with frequent gust of 20 to 30 mph.
  • Friday 9pm - Saturday 1am: South winds sustained between 20 and 25 mph with frequent gusts of 30 to 40 mph.
  • Saturday 2am - 6am: SW winds between 20 and 25 mph with frequent gusts of 30 to 35 mph.
  • Saturday 7am - Sunday 9am: West winds sustained between 15 and 20 mph with frequent gusts of 20 to 30 mph.

    Flooding

  • Most of our county's shoreline communities will experience 10 to 12 hrs of slightly elevated water levels (1ft+ above normally dry ground) Friday evening as we endure SE and south winds.
  • Water levels will then reverse and be below normal on Saturday as west winds pull water from most of our waterways.

    Severe Storms

  • Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds and isolated tornados will be possible between 7pm and 3am Saturday.
  • Our greatest chance of receiving severe weather will be between 10pm and 2am.

    What To Watch For

  • The National Weather Service has medium confidence in this evolving forecast, and many of the detail remain uncertain. Therefore, it is important that we monitor the continuation of recent trends by paying particular attention to the following potentials:
  • Increasing wind gust values.
  • Increase risk of severe weather.

    Please see the email below and attached briefing from the National Weather Service (NWS) for additional information. The next NWS update is schedule for 9am tomorrow morning. Our office will continue to pass along these updates as we receive them.

    As always, we thank you all for what you do to keep Beaufort County informed, prepared and safe.


   Chris Newkirk
   Director, Beaufort County Emergency Services
   121 W 3rd St.
   Washington, NC 27889
     Office: (252) 946-0079  •  Cell: (252) 378-5352


    Good Afternoon,

    We are expecting strong to locally severe thunderstorms, gusty winds of 45-50 mph (coastal counties), and dangerous marine conditions for Eastern NC Friday Night (January 12th). A wind advisory has been issued for many coastal counties.

    At this time, we are not expecting much in the way of coastal flooding, as the duration and marginal nature of southwesterly gales is quite brief. Water levels could reach as high as 1 foot above normal.

    Attached is a two-page briefing for the event. The next briefing will be sent out by 9 AM Friday.

    If you have any questions or need anything else, please let us know!

NWS_Morehead_City_Briefing_2_Strong_cold_front_Jan_12th_2024.pdf


    Regards,

    NWS Newport/Morehead City


   NOAA - National Weather Service
   Newport/Morehead City, NC Weather Forecast Office
   533 Roberts Rd
   Newport, NC 28570
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Severe Weather Potential - Friday Inclement Weather, News and Information, The Region 9am Update - Today's Severe Weather Potential


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Our office is monitoring the likelihood of severe weather across Eastern NC for tomorrow. Forecast details for Beaufort County include:
This morning’s update included minor adjustments to snow accumulations, with Beaufort County forecasted to receive between 8 and 12 inches.
This afternoon’s update continues to indicate “Major Impacts” (Dangerous driving conditions, closures, disruptions with normal daily activities, etc.) from this weekend’s winter weather with Beaufort County currently forecasted to receive 10 and 14 inches of snow.
While this afternoon’s update once again included increased probabilities of moderate to major impacts, it will likely be tomorrow before we receive specific accumulation details.
Our probability for experiencing “Moderate Impacts” (hazardous driving conditions, closures, disruptions with normal daily activities, etc.) increased to between 60 and 80% with this morning’s update
Our office continues to monitor the forecasted potential of another round of winter weather for this Saturday and Sunday.

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